Monday, 10 November 2008

Lean Production Video( Henry Ford Success)

GOOD SONG

crazy mind control by DERREN BROWN




Check this video out:
This video talks about how a person can be psychologically and sensitively recognize and remember things or images that they they see without thinking or they see for 0,1 seconds. So Derren Brown, a professional mind control guy, sets up some certain images between the routes from advertisers` departure to the destination.
Check the video out, to see the result....





Check this video out:
In this video, it show how a person`s brain function or whatever their thinking function can be affected by the background of the situation and the words that he hears. Just check it out, it`s amazing

NEW!!! Cadbury Gorilla Advert 2008!





Factors making this advertisement successful:
1) Perfect Music ( talking about how tired, how nervous the gorilla feels and how much he needs to eat it at the moment " I need u tonight~, I need u more than ever~"

2) Company name: A glass and a half full of joy

3) Color: Using just blue and white to emphasize the chocolate which is brown

4) Scenario: Gorilla all of a sudden starts to play drum with bliss, when the music is talking about " I need u tonight~, I need u more than ever~"

Tuesday, 4 November 2008

Revision of "When Markets Collide"

The book "When Markets Collide" talks about not only about an essential economics problem of the present and future but also based on the author`s experience, explained how to deal with those noises and take care of it.
It was at the end of 1997, when Mohamed, currently one of the most respected economic and financial analysts, left (IMF) and joined the opportunity of witnessing the clear transformation of the global economy.
In this book, it talks about the "transformation" of the global economy. "Transformation" which affect the World we living in, is really hard to navigate and observe since it comes from not expected place with rapid speed. The thing is that with the technologies that we have now, we can not perfectly solve the problem no matter how early stage we navigate the transformation, but we can minimize the effect on us which will be in the present and in the future.
To find out the motives of the transformation, we have to recognize the "noise" which normally comes out anomalies to that participants take for granted. But the normal reaction of people around the World towards this "noise" is just ignoring it. But sensitive people like Edward and Mohamed, they listened carefully and watched other people`s views to find out where the "initial noise" coming from, and what effect would this put on the World that we are living in.
Most of investors, rather than waiting and having a careful look about their decisions and investments, they just became full steam and take more risk which they do not know anything about. But the thing is that even though policy makers know the fact of what is going and they show discomfort of this, they actually can not do anything about it. So investors became "data dependent" which is that they just go after data without robust analytical anchors, so there is big problem if there is big turnaround against the data that they believed in.

Here are 3 main factors of helping to explaining the "noise"
  1. Fundamental realignment of global economic power and influence.
  2. Pronounced accumulation of financial wealth by a set of countries which used to be more debtors than creditors.
  3. Proliferation of new financial instruments that have deeply changed the barriers of entry to many markets.
The problems of today is that the economy is keep changing in a rapid rate and investor who have no idea what is going just jump into the sea. And the pipe can not handle both new and old problems together at the same time.

There is another thing that have been changed in a recent years, the reputation of developing countries, before they are not used be even considered among the markets of developed countries, but now they are the big supporters of the market issue since they invest lots of money on things which developed countries can not do because of the danger.

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Mohamed A. El-Erian, Egyptian who have been educated from Oxford and Cambridge are really polite and charming. Mohamed has been living in a lot of different places around the World and just spent about 7 years of running PIMCO`s Emerging Markets Bond Fund which is one of the best global investment companies, with more than $ 500 billion of assets under management.

In PIMCO`s Emerging Markets Bond Fund, El-Erian is one of the firm`s seven member Investment Committee and also is one of its three-member Partner Compensation Committee. Even to such a great Financier and Economist, there was really bad job for him. Specially when he was in Harvard, when he followed the footsteps of the superstar manager at that time called "Jack Meyer" who ran the endowment for around 15 or 16 years and paid so richly compared to El-Erian is being paid. And, finally mohamed showed his work. All those investors and work related people cheered him that his work is far more palatable to University, so in a way they criticized Jack Meyer for getting paid way much more than Mohamed.

Before Mohamed joined in PIMCO`s Emerging Markets Bond Fund, he joined the institution through the `Economist Program` and spent about 15 or more years working with IMF. At the time, he was not only working on policy issues and on a range of country but also serving in several posts including deputy director of the Middle Eastern Department and adviser to the first deputy Managing Director, Stanley Fisher.

Not only he was working and contributing in so many economically important companies and countries but also he was voted for a lot of different contributions such as one of the "Ten Most Important Executives in Latin American Borrowing", Global Investor's Award for Investment Excellence in Emerging Market Debt, and he was also included from the Fortune Magazine article as "The Real Mutual Fund Dream Team." and "one of the world's top 50 investors". Furthermore, the Emerging Market Debt that he manages has won few number of awards such as the 2004 Lipper Award for consistently strong performance. In 2004, he was named as one of the top investors in Latin America by Latin Finance and 2005, was ranked in 12th for the topic "most powerful and influential people in Latin America and the Caribbean."

Furthermore, he contributed in writing publications such as Finance, Reuters, Finance Times and various specialized finance media. And he served and serves on so many boards such (EMTA), (EMCA), member of IMF, (ICRW), (ECES) and etc.

Sunday, 2 November 2008